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Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises
Author: Mr. Axel Schimmelpfennig, Nouriel Roubini, Paolo Manasse
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
ISBN: 1451919859
Pages: 41
Year: 2003-11-01
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We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor''s, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive tree analysis, we identify macroeconomic variables reflecting solvency and liquidity factors that predict a debt-crisis episode one year in advance. The logit model predicts 74 percent of all crises entries while sending few false alarms, and the recursive tree 89 percent while sending more false alarms.
Ethical Decision Making in School Administration
Author: Paul A. Wagner, Douglas J. Simpson
Publisher: SAGE Publications
ISBN: 1483343472
Pages: 232
Year: 2008-10-22
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Pedagogically rich, demographically inclusive, and culturally sensitive, Ethical Decision Making in School and District Administration exposes educational leaders to an interdisciplinary array of theories from the fields of education, economics, management, and moral philosophy (past and present). Authors Paul A. Wagner and Douglas J. Simpson demonstrate how understanding key concepts can dramatically improve management styles and protocols. Key Features Contains numerous case studies that apply the book's concepts to relevant ethical issues faced by school administrators Reveals possibilities for thinking outside the box in terms of morally informed and effective leadership strategies aimed at securing organizational commitment and shared vision Presents multiple theories of ethics, demonstrating how they inform decision making and culture building in school districts Incorporates a range of in-text learning aids, including figures that clarify and critique ideas, a complete glossary, and end-of-chapter activities and questions
Israel in Egypt
Author: George Frideric Handel
Publisher: Forgotten Books
ISBN: 0267176597
Pages: 198
Year: 2018-01-29
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Excerpt from Israel in Egypt: Sacred Oratorio And the children of Israel sighed by reason of the bondage, and their cry came up unto God. They oppressed them with burthens, and made them serve with rigour; and their cry came up unto God. - Ex. Ii. 23. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
Pride and Precipice
Author: Lelia M. Silver
Publisher: CreateSpace
ISBN: 149471616X
Pages: 248
Year: 2013-12
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In this modern re-telling of Pride and Prejudice, Elizabeth Bennet is a general contractor specializing in the restoration of historic homes. When she and her sister Jane are tasked with the job of turning Netherfield Park into the latest addition in the Bingley Hotels and Hospitality Services' chain of hotels, they are introduced to Charles Bingley and Fitzwilliam Darcy. So begins one of the greatest love stories of all time. But the world is different now than it was when Jane Austen wrote the revered tale, and although Lizzy and Darcy are on the precipice of falling in love, it will take more than letting go of their pride and prejudice to take them over the edge.
Santa: The Person
Author: Mark Wheeler
ISBN: 0971668140
Pages: 548
Year: 2004-07
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Santa: The Person is a fictional biography about a man inside the suit, a man named Richard Santa whose character and life are based on the life of a person who is very real. It's not an oatmeal cookie tale. Rather, it's a rough sleigh ride through the tempest and storm of everyday life, the sort of journey that a myth like Santa Clause might not be expected to survive. Richard Santa's story is meant to describe how hope never needs to be abandoned, even in the face of darkest hopelessness. As everyone has shared his failures, so may they also hope to share his triumphs.
The Prestige Value of Public Employment in Chicago
Author: Leonard Dupee White
ISBN: 1258276429
Pages: 200
Year: 2012-04-01
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FX Options and Smile Risk
Author: Antonio Castagna
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470684933
Pages: 330
Year: 2010-02-12
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The FX options market represents one of the most liquid and strongly competitive markets in the world, and features many technical subtleties that can seriously harm the uninformed and unaware trader. This book is a unique guide to running an FX options book from the market maker perspective. Striking a balance between mathematical rigour and market practice and written by experienced practitioner Antonio Castagna, the book shows readers how to correctly build an entire volatility surface from the market prices of the main structures. Starting with the basic conventions related to the main FX deals and the basic traded structures of FX options, the book gradually introduces the main tools to cope with the FX volatility risk. It then goes on to review the main concepts of option pricing theory and their application within a Black-Scholes economy and a stochastic volatility environment. The book also introduces models that can be implemented to price and manage FX options before examining the effects of volatility on the profits and losses arising from the hedging activity. Coverage includes: how the Black-Scholes model is used in professional trading activity the most suitable stochastic volatility models sources of profit and loss from the Delta and volatility hedging activity fundamental concepts of smile hedging major market approaches and variations of the Vanna-Volga method volatility-related Greeks in the Black-Scholes model pricing of plain vanilla options, digital options, barrier options and the less well known exotic options tools for monitoring the main risks of an FX options’ book The book is accompanied by a CD Rom featuring models in VBA, demonstrating many of the approaches described in the book.
Computer-assisted Investigative Reporting
Author: Margaret H. DeFleur
Publisher: Routledge
ISBN: 1136686355
Pages: 264
Year: 2013-11-26
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Conducting computer analyses for the purposes of revealing information of significance to the press represents an extension of one of the most important forms of American journalism into the contemporary era of new technologies. Investigative reporting had its start with the establishment of the metropolitan newspaper during the early decades of the 1900s. At the time, it was a continuation of the evolving tradition of freedom of the press that had characterized American political life since colonial times. As it developed, investigative reporting stressed facts rather than the opinions of the editor or reporter. In turn, that tradition had its own intellectual roots. Today, computer-assisted investigative reporting (CAIR) extends that "marketplace of ideas" into systematic examinations of the electronic records of government. In addition, computer analyses of other kinds of information systematically gathered by journalists can provide the press with insights into trends and patterns unlikely to be revealed by other means. This unique volume addresses procedures and issues in investigative journalism that have not been explained in other publications. It sets forth -- for the first time -- a detailed and specific methodology for conducting computer-assisted investigative analyses of both large and small scale electronic records of government and other agencies. That methodology consists of the logic of inquiry, strategies for reaching valid conclusions, and rules for reporting what has been revealed by the analyses to the public in clear ways. Such systematic methodologies are essential in social and other sciences and the development of a counterpart for investigative journalism has been badly needed. That systematic methodology is developed within a context that explains the origin and major characteristics of those elements that have come together in American society to make computer-assisted investigative reporting both possible and increasingly a part of standard newsroom practices. These include the development of traditional investigative journalism, the evolution of computer technology, the use of computers by government to keep records, the legal evolution of freedom of information laws, the rapid adoption of computers in newsrooms, the increasing importance of precision journalism, and the sharp increase in recent times of computer-assisted investigative reporting by American newspapers both large and small. The issues addressed in this book are discussed in a very readable context with an abundance of examples and illustrations drawn from the real world of journalism as it is practiced daily in newsrooms around the country. Explanations of concepts, principles, and procedures are set forth in layperson's terms that require very little in the way of knowledge of computers or statistical methods.
How Big Is Your Clothing Footprint?
Author: Paul Mason
Publisher: Marshall Cavendish
ISBN: 0761444106
Pages: 32
Year: 2009-09-01
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Examines the impact humans have on the environment when using clothing and offers examples of ways to achieve sustainable fashion, including repairing instead of replacing clothing and wearing fabrics made from renewable materials.
Half-hours in the Temple Church
Author: Charles John Vaughan
Pages: 211
Year: 1871
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Tumor Microenvironment
Author: Constantinos Koumenis, Lisa M. Coussens, Amato Giaccia, Ester Hammond
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319266667
Pages: 297
Year: 2016-06-20
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This volume covers the topics presented at the 3rd International Conference on Tumor Microenvironment and Cellular Stress by an international community of researchers. The conference brings together scientists to discuss different cellular and animal models of tumor microenvironment study and identify common pathways that are candidates for therapeutic intervention; stimulate collaboration between groups that are more focused on elucidation of biochemical aspects of stress biology (e.g., HIF regulation) and groups that study the pathophysiological aspects of stress pathways or engaged in drug discovery; and critically evaluate novel targets for imaging or therapeutic intervention that would be of use to the tumor microenvironment community and pharmaceutical industry.
Cinematic Portraits of Evil
Publisher: Cambria Press
ISBN: 1621968014
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Happiness, Pleasure, Joy, Bliss
Author: Osho
Publisher: Osho Media International
ISBN: 0880500603
Pages: 22
Year: 2013-03-15
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Happiness, Pleasure, Joy, Bliss are addressed here by Osho and we learn the different levels of development: "Let us start from the lowest because that will be easier to understand, that’s where man biologically is born. Pleasure is physical..." Ordinarily, in the dictionaries you will find bliss defined as happiness, pleasure, joy. Linguistically they all appear to have a similar meaning; existentially it is not so. And you will have to understand the subtle nuances and differences; only then you may be able to catch some hold of the phenomenon called bliss.
Therapists, Lawyers, and Divorcing Spouses
Author: Esther Oshiver Fisher, Mitchell Salem Fisher
Publisher: Psychology Press
ISBN: 0866561692
Pages: 138
Year: 1982-01-01
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Experts explore the need for cooperation between the law and helping professions in order to lessen the trauma of the divorce process.
Der Jungen Knaben Spiegel
Author: Georg Wickram
Publisher: Tredition Classics
ISBN: 3847293117
Pages: 132
Year: 2012-06
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Dieses Werk ist Teil der Buchreihe TREDITION CLASSICS. Der Verlag tredition aus Hamburg veroffentlicht in der Buchreihe TREDITION CLASSICS Werke aus mehr als zwei Jahrtausenden. Diese waren zu einem Grossteil vergriffen oder nur noch antiquarisch erhaltlich. Mit der Buchreihe TREDITION CLASSICS verfolgt tredition das Ziel, tausende Klassiker der Weltliteratur verschiedener Sprachen wieder als gedruckte Bucher zu verlegen - und das weltweit! Die Buchreihe dient zur Bewahrung der Literatur und Forderung der Kultur. Sie tragt so dazu bei, dass viele tausend Werke nicht in Vergessenheit geraten

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